The dilemma of Central Asia: optimistic about the Taliban but afraid of the domino effect of Islamism

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Central Asia faces a dilemma. He welcomed the Taliban’s coming to power and the withdrawal of US troops. Investment rain from ChinaBut he fears that the success of an Islamic emirate will cause a dangerous chain reaction in the region.

“The Taliban will not build the Alhambra there Kabul. But for China, Pakistan Or Uzbekistan does not care about what is happening in Afghanistan, they do not care about human rights,” Danil Kislov, director of Fergana.ru, Central Asia News Agency, told EFE today.

The U.S. withdrawal has paved the way for the Kabul government, but in recent months, a conspiracy between the Central Asian Republic and Beijing’s frontline Pakistan has caused the Kabul government to collapse due to economic interests.

In addition, unlike 2001, when Russia and China turned a blind eyeNo one in the area is now considering giving up territory to bomb Afghanistan.

Collusion with Pakistan

This visit did not attract the attention of the West, but Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan attended an international conference held in Uzbekistan in July last year.

“There, in Tashkent, new maps and corridors (business and energy) that will travel through Afghanistan were drawn,” said lawyer Kais Rahmanie, who was born in the arms of the family of an Afghan diplomat in Kabul and now lives in the capital of Uzbekistan.

According to analysts from Effie Consulting, Pakistan has reached a tasting agreement with all countries in the region in Tashkent, from Uzbekistan to Iran or Turkmenistan, except Turkey, Qatar and Saudi ArabiaThe Taliban is the best choice to place orders in neighboring countries and use Chinese funds to carry out strategic projects.

“The Uzbeks are very clear. We want to reach the Indian Ocean (Gwadar Port) through Afghanistan,” Kislov said, referring to the railway laying between the Afghan city of Mazar-e-Sharif and the Pakistani city of Peshawar.

The message is that the pro-Western governments of NATO and Ashraf Ghani also participated in the forum, “there is no stability.”

Investment at the expense of human rights

“They all advocate the establishment of a central government to ensure that it attracts investment and allows economic and energy projects to develop in the region. We believe that the Taliban have changed and they are modern and civilized,” they said, “Kislov said.

The Uzbeks want to export uranium, gold or cotton. Turkmenistan, gas. Rahmanie explained that the benefits are access to the market of 1.5 billion consumers in South Asia and the possibility of exporting hydrocarbons to India through the TAPI pipeline.

Signed China Non-aggression pact with the TalibanIt is the country pulling the strings in the shadows. According to experts, its goal is to expand its political and economic influence at the expense of the United States and penetrate the Iranian market.

The gap left by the U.S. will be filled by China, Which will make every town in the region a commercial offer,” Rahmani predicted.

The Taliban is another member of the great project of the 21st Century Silk Road, better known as the “Belt and Road”.

Dangerous Islamist precedent

But supporting the Taliban has its risks. Tajikistan has a border of more than 1,300 kilometers with Afghanistan and has already experienced a civil war in which Islamists supported the rebels and killed more than 100,000 people.

If the Taliban succeed in establishing an Islamic state And they have gained international recognition, which will be a dangerous example for radical Muslims in Central Asia,” Kislov warned.

He explained that during his travels through the region, he saw “many young radicals in Uzbekistan who are uneducated, primitive-minded and want to live under Islamic law” or Islamic law.

Similarly, Tajik critic and historian Nurari Davlatov believes that the Taliban will create an Iranian theocracy, which will have a “negative impact on the political process of all Muslim countries” and will “activate” extremes. Socialist groups.

“The Taliban’s ideology and goals have not changed,” he said, taking the risk of ethnic cleansing and summary punishment of soldiers, members of the security forces, and anyone who cooperates with the United States and NATO.

In his view, “the stability of the region will depend on the relationship between the Taliban and terrorist organizations with members from Central Asia and the Russian Caucasus.”

“The important thing is that Afghanistan will not become a safe haven for terrorists,” he emphasized.

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