An old adage about causation and chance says: “Two unusual events occurring at the same time and place are necessarily related.” I’m not even going to tell you if there are three, in a strategic location and a war between them.
This Swedish seismic network detects ‘massive energy release this Monday’two explosions occurred minutes later near the Danish island of Bornholm, North Stream Pipeline into European soil. The first explosion occurred at 2:03 am local time and the second at 7:04 pm 17 hours later. One of the underwater explosions caused a tremor of magnitude 2.3.
The impact caused three leaks in the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines Baltic seabed from Siberia, Russian gas to Central Europe. The first stopped pumping a month ago due to an alleged failure of a Russian turbine, and the second was out of work due to the war in Ukraine.But both lines are Filled with methane gas to maintain pressure in the pipeline. The gas pours into the Baltic Sea like a mighty geyser.
For her part, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Oil pipeline leak, said Tuesday north creek Caused by ‘disruption’ and warns ‘most violent reaction possible’ in case the active European energy infrastructure is attacked.
The most important thing is to investigate these incidents now to fully understand the incidents and their causes.
Any deliberate sabotage of the active European energy infrastructure is unacceptable and will lead to the strongest possible response.
– Ursula Vonderleyen (@vonderleyen) September 27, 2022
The executive chairman of the community made these statements following a phone call with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, whose governments, such as Sweden’s, said the leaks found in those gas pipelines linking Russia and Germany were the result of “deliberate”. Behavior”.
The failures came after the CIA warned the German government of a possible attack on the pipeline, reports Tuesday said. Mirror. Pipeline operator Nord Stream AG said in its agreement document that the chance of a pipeline failure or leak was “as low as one in 100,000 years”. The company also assured that “no repairs to the pipeline are expected to be required during Nord Stream’s minimum operational life of 50 years.”
Sweden’s National Seismic Network said the Maritime Administration issued warnings about the gas leak at 1.52pm and 8.41pm on Monday, when the vessel detected air bubbles on the surface. Maritime authorities immediately ordered ships to stay 5 miles (8 kilometers) away from the spill and aircraft to maintain a safe altitude of 1,000 meters.
This methane gas It is not toxic, although it is a Strong Greenhouse Agent. But the problem is that its lower density affects the buoyancy of the ship and the stability of the aircraft. Aircraft can avoid passing the leak vertically by other routes, but sea traffic must pass through the leak. Let’s remember: the outlet of the Sond Strait, one of the straits that separates Denmark from Sweden.
In war, we already know what happens to the truth. But this war is very rare. Theorists on both sides agree on the cause of the accident: destroy. The Polish government, through its Deputy Foreign Minister Marcin Przydacz, assured that “no situation can be ruled out”, and Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen also addressed the State media revealed this to another gas pipeline in Poland.German newspaper daily mirror Yes Der Spiegel This possibility is also pointed out.
it appears here Germany. Their Russia’s natural gas dependence It is one of the vulnerable points of the EU. It has filled its tanks to 80% a month early, but if the war continues until then, its forecast is to keep filling tanks for the winter of 2023. LNG carriers from Norway, Belgium and the Netherlands continue to arrive daily through the Skarregat, Kattegat and Sund Straits in response to the risk.
The importance of this process is that, according to nationbefore closing a month ago, Nord Stream 1 contributed about 350 GWh of Russian gas, compared with 2,900 GWh from the three countries. Methane tankers have been unable to safely pass through the strait since Monday.
This summer, Chancellor Scholz worked to assure the population of energy reserves for winter. But, just in case, he wrote a cheque for 300 euros to each pensioner, encouraging them to spend the colder months in a warmer country.
Germany’s calculations aren’t entirely relevant, but in any case, Berlin has five floating liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, and its government has approved in record time that two of them should start operating by the end of this year or early next.
With the strait closed or at risk, that supply hangs in the balance. Scholz also expects U.S. methane tankers to offload fuel at five of its mobile regasification terminals starting next summer.
If the leaks continue, if no one turns off the taps on Russian soil, or, as experts insist, the EU doesn’t address the loopholes, such traffic will be impossible. Gas will become liquefied dangerous goods for shipping. The same uncertainty hangs over all the Baltic states: Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Finland and even Sweden.
The author of the sabotage – if the hypothesis seems to bear out – hit the nail on the head in his attack on the gas pipeline. This points to long-term instability in the region and, of course, Its virulence may increase in the coming months.
Meanwhile, Hamlet’s castle in Elsinore, on the Danish coast, and author Karen Brixen’s tomb in Runstead, are watching more than ever as the air is filled with sterile bubbles of metamorphic gas. colder.
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